CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.Market News: The Canadian government sells its shares in Air Canada.The previous crude oil futures 2401 contract closed up 1.51% at 545.40 yuan/barrel. Shanghai Gold closed down 0.59% and Shanghai Bank closed down 1.67%.
Israeli military officials: They are preparing for possible attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities. On the 12th local time, Israeli military officials said that with the weakening of Iran's proxy groups in the Middle East and the stepping down of the Syrian Assad regime, the Israeli Air Force is preparing for possible attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities. The Israeli army believes that "isolated Iran may further advance its nuclear program." At present, the Israeli Air Force has destroyed most of Syria's air defense systems and believes that there is now an opportunity to launch an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities.American natural gas futures rose by 3.00% in the day and are now reported at $3.480/million British heat.In the first 10 months of this year, the number of tourists from China to Hungary nearly doubled. According to the latest data from the Hungarian Ministry of Economic Affairs, a total of 183,000 tourists from China arrived in Hungary in the first 10 months of this year, nearly doubling compared with the same period last year.
The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds rose to 4.316% after the auction results were announced, the highest level since November 26th.Russia said it cracked down on several Ukrainian military equipment and repulsed Russia's multi-directional attacks. The Russian Defense Ministry issued a war report on the 12th, saying that in the past day, Russian armed forces killed and wounded 1,345 Ukrainian troops and destroyed many Ukrainian military equipment including tanks, armored vehicles and American howitzers. Russian air defense forces shot down four American-made "Haima" rockets and 37 drones of the Ukrainian army. In addition, Russian troops also controlled the "Zarija" settlement in Donetsk. According to the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, there were 203 battles in the frontline area in the past day, and the situation on the frontline remained grim. The Ukrainian air force, missile units and artillery units destroyed many Russian military personnel assembly areas and control points. In the direction of Kharkov, Pokrovsk and Kulahovo, the Ukrainian army repelled many Russian attacks. In addition, the Ukrainian army continued to carry out operations in the Kursk region.The overall implementation of the personal pension system is more optimized. After two years of implementation in 36 cities (regions), the personal pension system will be officially launched nationwide on December 15th. On December 12th, Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, Ministry of Finance, State Taxation Administration of The People's Republic of China, State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau, China Securities Regulatory Commission and other five departments issued the Notice on Full Implementation of Individual Pension System, which made it clear that from December 15th, 2024, all workers who participated in the basic old-age insurance for urban workers or urban and rural residents in China can participate in the individual pension system. China Securities Regulatory Commission said that the promulgation and implementation of the Notice is an important measure to implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the Second and Third Plenary Sessions of the 20th Central Committee and accelerate the development of a multi-level and multi-pillar old-age security system, which is conducive to giving full play to the wealth management function of the capital market and building a sound policy system of "long money and long investment". At the same time, according to the requirements of the Notice, the China Securities Regulatory Commission timely optimized the product supply and included the first batch of 85 equity index funds in the personal pension investment product catalogue. Lou Feipeng, a researcher at China Postal Savings Bank, said that the Notice put forward targeted measures based on the situation encountered in the pilot, enriching the types of personal pension products, increasing the situation of receiving personal pensions in advance and effectively improving the personal pension system on the basis of the previous pilot, which will help attract investors to actively participate in personal pension-related investments. (Securities Daily)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14